Stars vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - November 23

Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins

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The Dallas Stars (12-6) take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-6-2) at Amalie Arena on Saturday, November 23 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars knocked off the San Jose Sharks 5-2 in their last game, while the Lightning are coming off a 7-6 overtime loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets.

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Get ready for this showdown with a glimpse at who we project to come out on top in Saturday's game.

Over the past 10 contests, the Lightning are 5-3-2 while scoring 35 goals against 26 goals conceded. On 28 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored seven goals (25.0%).

Stars vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-104)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 12-6 overall and 1-0-1 in overtime matchups.
  • Dallas has four points (2-1-0) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Stars registered just one goal, they lost.
  • Dallas has finished 3-4-0 in the seven games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals 10 times, and are 9-1-0 in those games (to register 18 points).
  • In the four games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 3-1-0 record (six points).
  • In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 8-4-0 (16 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents five times, and went 4-1-0 (eight points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a record of 10-6-2 this season and are 2-2-4 in overtime contests.
  • In the six games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up seven points.
  • This season the Lightning recorded just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay failed to win all three games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Lightning have earned 21 points in their 14 games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in four games has a record of 2-2-0 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 5-4-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents seven times this season, and earned 10 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
11th 3.39 Goals Scored 3.67 5th
1st 2.33 Goals Allowed 3 13th
5th 31.5 Shots 27.6 21st
5th 26.6 Shots Allowed 28.4 11th
24th 16.07% Power Play % 21.43% 12th
5th 84.91% Penalty Kill % 76.79% 23rd

Stars vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

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