Stars vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - February 23

Chicago Blackhawks v New York Islanders — Photo: Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (36-18-2) hit the road to play the New York Islanders (25-23-7) at UBS Arena on Sunday, February 23 at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The Islanders are riding a six-game home winning streak.

Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Sunday's matchup.

The Islanders have put up a 7-3-0 record over their past 10 contests. They have scored 31 total goals (two power-play goals on 20 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 10.0%) while allowing 23 goals to their opponents.

Stars vs. Islanders Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Stars 4, Islanders 3.

Moneyline Pick: Stars (-132)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars have a 36-18-2 record overall, with a 6-2-8 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
Dallas has 19 points (9-6-1) in the 16 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the seven games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they've finished 1-6-0 (two points).
Dallas has taken 13 points from the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (6-8-1 record).
The Stars have scored at least three goals 34 times, and are 29-4-1 in those games (to register 59 points).
In the 20 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 32 points after finishing 16-4-0.
In the 32 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 19-12-1 (39 points).
The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 22 games. The Stars went 16-5-1 in those matchups (33 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

The Islanders have a 6-7-13 record in overtime matchups this season and a 25-23-7 overall record.
New York has earned 24 points (9-6-6) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Islanders recorded just one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (0-6-2) in those contests.
New York has four points (2-5-0) when scoring two goals this season.
The Islanders have earned 50 points in their 34 games with at least three goals scored.
This season, New York has scored a single power-play goal in 11 games and registered 17 points with a record of 8-2-1.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, New York has posted a record of 12-15-2 (26 points).
The Islanders have been outshot by opponents in 24 games, going 13-6-5 to record 31 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank	Stars AVG		Islanders AVG	Islanders Rank
5th	3.29	Goals Scored	2.73	26th
2nd	2.5	Goals Allowed	2.93	14th
5th	29.9	Shots	28.7	14th
8th	27	Shots Allowed	28.4	14th
21st	19.88%	Power Play %	11.54%	32nd
2nd	84.77%	Penalty Kill %	70.69%	31st

Stars vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York