Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Colorado Avalanche take the road to square off against the Dallas Stars in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Monday, April 28, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The series is knotted up at 2-2. Bookmakers give the Avalanche -140 moneyline odds in this matchup against the Stars (+118).

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Monday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Stars 4, Avalanche 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (+118)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche are 9-6-15 in overtime contests as part of a 49-29-4 overall record.
• Colorado is 13-7-3 (29 points) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
• In the 15 games this season the Avalanche scored only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
• Colorado has taken 12 points from the 14 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (5-7-2 record).
• The Avalanche have scored at least three goals 54 times, and are 45-8-1 in those games (to record 91 points).
• In the 34 games when Colorado has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 24-8-2 to register 50 points.
• When it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 35-18-3 (73 points).
• The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 23 games, going 13-9-1 to register 27 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 50-26-6 record this season and are 11-6-17 in games that have required overtime.
• Dallas has earned 38 points (17-7-4) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Stars registered just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
• When Dallas has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 17 points (7-8-3 record).
• The Stars have scored more than two goals in 56 games, earning 91 points from those contests.
• This season, Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 30 games and picked up 45 points with a record of 22-7-1.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 46 games, going 28-13-5 to register 61 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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