Lightning vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Oct. 30

The Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2) take a three-game win streak into a home matchup with the Dallas Stars (6-3-1), who have won three in a row, on Thursday, Oct. 30 at 7 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our pick for which club will secure the win in Thursday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Stars Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Stars 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-149)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 4-4-2 overall and 1-2-3 in overtime matchups.
• Tampa Bay has eight points (3-3-2) in the eight games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the one game this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they lost in overtime.
• Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in four games this season (1-2-1 record, three points).
• The Lightning are 3-2-0 in the five games when they have scored more than two goals (to record six points).
• In the three games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered three points after finishing 1-1-1.
• In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 2-1-1 (five points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in six games. The Lightning finished 2-3-1 in those matchups (five points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars (6-3-1 overall) have posted a record of 1-1-2 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
• In the five games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up nine points.
• This season the Stars recorded only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
• Dallas lost in overtime in its only game this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
• The Stars have earned 10 points in their six games with more than two goals scored.
• Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in three games this season and won all of those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 3-1-1 (seven points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents five times this season, and earned six points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, October 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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