Stars vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3

Minnesota Wild v San Jose Sharks

Photo: Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Minnesota Wild and Dallas Stars square off in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Grand Casino Arena on Wednesday, April 22, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT. The series is knotted up 1-1. Oddsmakers favor the Wild in this matchup, assigning them -132 odds on the moneyline against the Stars (+111).

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which squad we predict will come out on top in Wednesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Stars vs. Wild Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Wild 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Wild (-132)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Wild Splits and Trends

  • The Wild have gone 15-12-27 in overtime matchups as part of an overall record of 46-24-12.
  • In the 28 games Minnesota has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 16-5-7 record (good for 39 points).
  • The 11 times this season the Wild finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-8-2 (four points).
  • Minnesota has finished 4-10-4 in the 18 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 12 points).
  • The Wild have scored at least three goals in 55 games (42-7-6, 90 points).
  • In the 35 games when Minnesota has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 19-10-6 to record 44 points.
  • In the 38 games when it outshot its opponent, Minnesota is 22-11-5 (49 points).
  • The Wild have been outshot by opponents in 44 games, going 24-13-7 to register 55 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 12-12-24 record in overtime contests this season and a 50-20-12 overall record.
  • In the 36 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 52 points.
  • In 13 games this season when the Stars ended a game with just one goal, they earned a total of seven points (2-8-3).
  • When Dallas has scored two goals this season, they've earned 11 points (4-3-3 record).
  • The Stars have scored more than two goals in 58 games, earning 96 points from those contests.
  • This season, Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal in 34 games has a record of 26-6-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 25-8-2 (52 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 45 games. The Stars finished 24-11-10 in those contests (58 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Wild Rank Wild AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
10th 3.27 Goals Scored 3.33 9th
4th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.71 2nd
7th 29.1 Shots 25.2 30th
24th 29.3 Shots Allowed 26.1 6th
3rd 25.19% Power Play % 28.63% 2nd
16th 79.81% Penalty Kill % 80.32% 13th

Stars vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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