Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 10

Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder

Photo: William Purnell / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point underdogs in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the San Antonio Spurs at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Spurs are on top 2-1 in the series.

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Spurs 118, Timberwolves 113.

  • Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-188)
  • Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 230.6 points)
  • Pick ATS: Spurs (-4.5)

Recent Spurs vs. Timberwolves Matchups

Spurs vs Timberwolves (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/8/2026 Spurs -5.5 216.5 -218 +180 115-108 SA
5/6/2026 Spurs -10 217.5 -424 +325 133-95 SA
5/4/2026 Spurs -9.5 218.5 -400 +315 104-102 MIN
1/17/2026 Spurs -4.5 232.5 -175 +145 126-123 SA
1/11/2026 Timberwolves -2.5 233.5 -140 +118 104-103 MIN
11/30/2025 Timberwolves -4.5 233.5 -189 +157 125-112 MIN
3/9/2025 Timberwolves -10.5 234 -535 +397 141-124 MIN
12/29/2024 Timberwolves -6.5 217 -231 +188 112-110 MIN
12/15/2024 Timberwolves -4.5 214.5 -190 +159 106-92 MIN
11/2/2024 Timberwolves -3.5 214.5 -171 +142 113-103 SA

Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • San Antonio is 45-35-2 ATS this season.
  • The Spurs have a 24-22-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
  • San Antonio has hit the over in 35 of its 82 games with a set total (42.7%).
  • The Spurs have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
  • This season, San Antonio has won 38 of its 45 games, or 84.4%, when favored by at least -188 on the moneyline.

Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Minnesota has a 38-44-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Timberwolves are 8-4 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.
  • Minnesota's games have hit the over 38 out of 82 times (46.3%).
  • The Timberwolves have won 34.8% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (8-15).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer, Minnesota has a record of 5-5 (50%).

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Spurs

Spurs:

David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)

Timberwolves

Timberwolves:

Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Leg)

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center

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