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The San Antonio Spurs are 5.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Friday, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video. The Spurs hold a 3-2 series lead.
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Friday
Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Spurs 118, Timberwolves 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-222)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 230.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+5.5)
- More NBA PredictionsPistons vs. Cavaliers Predictions
Recent Spurs vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12/2026 | Spurs | -10.5 | 218.5 | -427 | +332 | 126-97 SA |
| 5/10/2026 | Spurs | -5.5 | 218.5 | -196 | +164 | 114-109 MIN |
| 5/8/2026 | Spurs | -5.5 | 216.5 | -218 | +180 | 115-108 SA |
| 5/6/2026 | Spurs | -10 | 217.5 | -424 | +325 | 133-95 SA |
| 5/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 218.5 | -400 | +315 | 104-102 MIN |
| 1/17/2026 | Spurs | -4.5 | 232.5 | -175 | +145 | 126-123 SA |
| 1/11/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 233.5 | -140 | +118 | 104-103 MIN |
| 11/30/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 233.5 | -189 | +157 | 125-112 MIN |
| 3/9/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 234 | -535 | +397 | 141-124 MIN |
| 12/29/2024 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 217 | -231 | +188 | 112-110 MIN |
| 12/15/2024 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 214.5 | -190 | +159 | 106-92 MIN |
| 11/2/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 214.5 | -171 | +142 | 113-103 SA |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 45-35-2 ATS this season.
- The Spurs have a 23-18-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
- In San Antonio's 82 games with a set total, 35 have hit the over (42.7%).
- The Spurs have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 49 (77.8%) of those contests.
- San Antonio has a record of 35-6, a 85.4% win rate, when it's favored by -222 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 38-44-0 this season.
- The Timberwolves are 6-3 against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season.
- Minnesota has hit the over in 38 of its 82 games with a set total (46.3%).
- The Timberwolves have an 8-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games).
- Minnesota has gone 3-4 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +183 or longer (42.9%).
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Leg)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
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