Spurs vs. Thunder Game 1 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 18

Philadelphia 76ers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Photo: Joshua Gateley / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs take the court to start the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock at 8:30 p.m. ET.

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Spurs vs. Thunder Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Thunder 116, Spurs 112.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-236)
  • Total Pick: Over 221.5 (computer predicts 228.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Spurs (+6.5)

Recent Spurs vs. Thunder Matchups

Thunder vs Spurs (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/4/2026 Spurs -9.5 221.5 -420 +325 116-106 SA
1/13/2026 Thunder -8.5 230.5 -304 +245 119-98 OKC
12/25/2025 Thunder -9.5 235 -372 +294 117-102 SA
12/23/2025 Thunder -6.5 235.5 -237 +195 130-110 SA
12/13/2025 Thunder -10.5 233.5 -513 +386 111-109 SA
3/2/2025 Thunder -13 238.5 -787 +541 146-132 OKC
11/19/2024 Thunder -10 222.5 -510 +382 110-104 SA
10/30/2024 Thunder -12.5 220.5 -787 +548 105-93 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has a 39-43-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Thunder have a 34-34 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Oklahoma City has gone over in 45 of its 82 games with a set total (54.9%).
  • The Thunder have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 62 (80.5%) of those contests.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 56 of its 67 games, or 83.6%, when favored by at least -236 on the moneyline.

Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • San Antonio is 45-35-2 ATS this year.
  • In games they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Spurs are 6-1 against the spread.
  • San Antonio has gone over in 35 of its 82 games with a set total (42.7%).
  • The Spurs have compiled a 13-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 68.4% of those games).
  • San Antonio has a record of 6-1 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +194 or longer (85.7%).

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Spurs vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)

Spurs

Spurs:

De'Aaron Fox: Questionable (Ankle),

Luke Kornet: Questionable (Foot),

David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

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