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The Oklahoma City Thunder are slight 3.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.
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Thunder vs. Spurs Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Spurs 115, Thunder 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-159)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 228.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (+3.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Spurs Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/26/2026 | Thunder | -3.5 | 217.5 | -162 | +136 | 127-114 OKC |
| 5/24/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 219.5 | -150 | +126 | 103-82 SA |
| 5/22/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 218.5 | -139 | +117 | 123-108 OKC |
| 5/20/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 216.5 | -270 | +219 | 122-113 OKC |
| 5/18/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 219.5 | -250 | +204 | 122-115 SA |
| 2/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 221.5 | -420 | +325 | 116-106 SA |
| 1/13/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 230.5 | -304 | +245 | 119-98 OKC |
| 12/25/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 235 | -372 | +294 | 117-102 SA |
| 12/23/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 235.5 | -237 | +195 | 130-110 SA |
| 12/13/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 233.5 | -513 | +386 | 111-109 SA |
| 3/2/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 238.5 | -787 | +541 | 146-132 OKC |
| 11/19/2024 | Thunder | -10 | 222.5 | -510 | +382 | 110-104 SA |
| 10/30/2024 | Thunder | -12.5 | 220.5 | -787 | +548 | 105-93 OKC |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 45-35-2 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 3.5 points or more, the Spurs have a 29-26-2 record against the spread.
- San Antonio's games have hit the over in 35 out of 82 opportunities (42.7%).
- This season, the Spurs have been favored 63 times and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
- San Antonio has a record of 46-9, a 83.6% win rate, when it's favored by -159 or more by bookmakers this season.
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 39-43-0 ATS this year.
- The Thunder have a 2-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Oklahoma City has hit the over in 45 of its 82 games with a set total (54.9%).
- The Thunder have been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. They've finished 2-3 in those games.
- Oklahoma City has gone 1-2 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +134 or longer (33.3%).
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Thunder vs. Spurs Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Calf),
Jalen Williams: Questionable (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Spurs Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, May 28, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Arena: Frost Bank Center
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