Stars vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Oct. 10

Montreal Canadiens v Pittsburgh Penguins

Photo: Justin Berl / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (2-2) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (2-2-1), who have dropped three straight, on Saturday, Oct. 10 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we pick to come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.

Stars vs. Penguins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Penguins 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Penguins (+149)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.6 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars were 13-13-26 in overtime games as part of a 50-20-12 overall record last season.
  • Dallas picked up 55 points (23-6-9) in the 38 games it played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the 13 times last season the Stars finished a game with just one goal, they had a 2-8-3 record, picking up seven points.
  • Dallas took 12 points from the 13 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (4-5-4 record).
  • The Stars scored more than two goals 59 times, and went 46-7-6 in those games (to register 98 points).
  • In the 36 games when Dallas scored a single power-play goal, it had a 26-8-2 record (54 points).
  • In games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas was 26-9-3 (55 points).
  • The Stars were outshot by their opponent in 46 games, going 24-12-10 to record 58 points.

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins have a 2-2-1 record this season and are 1-1-2 in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • Pittsburgh has earned two points (1-1-0) in its two games decided by one goal.
  • Pittsburgh has one point (0-1-1) in two games this season when it has scored two goals.
  • The Penguins have scored more than two goals three times, earning four points from those matchups (2-1-0).
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 2-1-0 (four points).
  • The Penguins have been outshot by opponents twice, and earned a single point in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)

Stars Rank Stars AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
9th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.54 3rd
2nd 2.71 Goals Allowed 3.15 24th
30th 25.2 Shots 28.4 10th
5th 26.1 Shots Allowed 27.3 12th
2nd 28.63% Power Play % 24.14% 7th
13th 80.32% Penalty Kill % 81.43% 7th

Stars vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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